{"id":47071,"date":"2021-04-30T00:54:00","date_gmt":"2021-04-30T06:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/study-says-future-of-new-mexico-might-include-fewer-people\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T03:36:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T09:36:45","slug":"study-says-future-of-new-mexico-might-include-fewer-people","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/study-says-future-of-new-mexico-might-include-fewer-people\/","title":{"rendered":"Study says future of New Mexico might include fewer people"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Motorists
Motorists including Elmer Serna, in driver's seat, awaited vaccine shots as medical workers complete paperwork at a drive-thru immunization clinic at a motor inn in Mora, N.M., on April 20. New Mexico is among the states with the highest rates of vaccination for COVID-19 and efforts are underway to respond to skepticism and misinformation about the effectiveness and risks of immunization. First Lady Jill Biden was kicking off a visit to the U.S. Southwest with a tour of a vaccination clinic in Albuquerque. (AP Photo\/Morgan Lee)<\/span>Morgan Lee<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>

Study says future of New Mexico might include fewer people<\/p>\n\n

SANTA FE, N.M. \u2014 Flanked by booming economies and community growth, New Mexico is likely to watch its population count plateau in the aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic and then slowly decline with a pronounced drop in school- and working-aged residents and a drain on rural areas, authors of a report on demographic trends announced Thursday.<\/p>\n

The report from the Legislature\u2019s budget and accountability office adds to indications in the 2020 Census of a population slowdown across large swaths of the high-desert state. It suggests that schools and universities in particular may want to plan accordingly to conserve resources and adapt.<\/p>\n

At the same time, an increase in the number of elderly residents will place a greater financial strain on programs such as Medicaid and Medicare.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn about a decade, New Mexico is projected to start seeing overall declines in population. \u2026 Declines in younger ages and rural areas will continue and likely be exacerbated by Covid-19,\u201d states the report from staff at the Legislative Finance Committee. \u201cGiven the status quo, New Mexico is heading toward having more, older New Mexicans using relatively expensive public services and fewer, younger New Mexicans in school and working.\u201d<\/p>\n

Authors told a panel of state legislators on Thursday that the projections, based on the 2010 census and interim surveys, are likely to be revised based on the results of the 2020 census.<\/p>\n

The first available numbers this week from the 2020 census show New Mexico\u2019s population grew by 2.8% over the last decade, making it one of the slowest-growing states in the West. In the West, only Wyoming had a slower growth rate.<\/p>\n

Neighboring Texas and Colorado are set to gain congressional seats as a result of population increases.<\/p>\n

State lawmakers economic development officials have been trying for years to attract new employers and shore-up the working-age population with subsidies and tax incentives for businesses, while grappling with a relatively weak economy and poor national rankings in education, health and safety.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt sounds like this is going to be a new issue for the legislature to tackle,\u201d said Republican state Rep. T. Ryan Lane of Farmington. \u201cI worry about my kids and my grandkids when you have a decline in population. That has a trickle-down effect to the rest of the economy and the rest of our way of life.\u201d<\/p>\n

In a counterpoint to those worries, state Rep. Susan Herrera of Embudo says she\u2019s witnessed an influx of people and competitive bidding on real estate in northern New Mexico.<\/p>\n

Among other findings, the number of white, non-Latino residents across New Mexico is falling and may soon be eclipsed by surpassed by Latinos.<\/p>\n

The report notes that a declining statewide birthrate \u2014 partly attributed to reduced births among teens \u2014 is likely to decline further amid the economic stress of the pandemic and its aftermath.<\/p>\n

One notable exception is the state\u2019s Native American population, which has grown by about 20,000 people \u2014 a 9.7% jump \u2014 between 2010 and 2019.<\/p>\n

Hopes still abound that the pandemic and a shift to remote work with bring new interest in New Mexico.<\/p>\n

\u201cOnce we start coming out of the pandemic, you know I think New Mexico\u2019s going to be the place people really want to be,\u201d said Dominic Gabello, a senior adviser to Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, in a media briefing earlier this year. He left the administration this month. \u201cThey want to get out of the big cities. They want to get away from the coast. We have great quality of living. \u2026 We\u2019re where people are looking to be right now.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Forecast: Expect a drop in school-age residents and a drain on rural areas<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47072,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[815,28],"naviga_topic":[],"class_list":["post-47071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-associated-press-new-mexico","tag-headlines"],"acf":[],"author_name":"dh_admin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47071"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47071\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87112,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47071\/revisions\/87112"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47072"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47071"},{"taxonomy":"naviga_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/naviga_topic?post=47071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}