{"id":109705,"date":"2015-09-08T18:51:43","date_gmt":"2015-09-09T00:51:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/el-nino-threatens-to-pack-a-punch-2\/"},"modified":"2015-09-08T18:51:43","modified_gmt":"2015-09-09T00:51:43","slug":"el-nino-threatens-to-pack-a-punch-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/el-nino-threatens-to-pack-a-punch-2\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o threatens to pack a punch"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\"Montezuma-Cortez
Montezuma-Cortez High School on Jan. 18, 1962.<\/span>The Montezuma Valley Journal<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>

Forecasters say a mighty El Ni\u00f1o warming eastern Pacific Ocean waters has the potential to bring nasty snowstorms to Southwest Colorado this winter.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s possible right now,\u201d Bernie Meier, a Weather Service meteorologist, said of El Ni\u00f1o potential. \u201cThe waters are fairly warm for this time of year; that\u2019s why we\u2019re expecting it to be a strong one. We definitely can\u2019t rule out it being a record one.\u201d<\/p>\n

Meterologist Jim Andrus, of Cortez, agreed, stating the El Ni\u00f1o weather phenomenon had historically resulted in cooler temperatures across the region.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe El Ni\u00f1o improves our chances for more precipitation, which means more snowpack for the mountains and more snow here in Cortez too,\u201d said Andrus. \u201cIt\u2019s not a 100 percent guarantee, but it does improve our chances.\u201d<\/p>\n

The current El Ni\u00f1o, nicknamed \u201cBruce Lee,\u201d is already the second-strongest on record for this time of year. The Weather Service says it could be the biggest in 50 years.<\/p>\n

The World Meteorological Organization says it appears Bruce Lee will strengthen before the year ends. And according to the Weather Service\u2019s climate prediction center, temperature and precipitation impacts could last into 2016.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is a greater than 90 percent chance that El Ni\u00f1o will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2015-16,\u201d the prediction center said in an El Ni\u00f1o advisory. \u201cAnd around an 85 percent chance it will last into early spring 2016.\u201d<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1os, which brew in the waters off the Central and South American coasts, typically bring excess precipitation to California and leave Montana and Idaho abnormally dry. In Colorado, forecasters say, the weather phenomenon often means monster snow events.<\/p>\n

Joel Gratz, founding meteorologist of OpenSnow.com, says while El Ni\u00f1o offers no forecast guarantees, \u201cit tips the odds\u201d toward there being more snow.<\/p>\n

In previous years of strong El Ni\u00f1o, Gratz said he has seen trends of big storms.<\/p>\n

\u201cEach of those seasons started out pretty strong and each of those (ski and snowboard) seasons ended pretty strong,\u201d he said. \u201cThe in between, the meat of the season, was below average.\u201d<\/p>\n

Joe Ramey, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Grand Junction, said some of the hype makes him cringe. An El Ni\u00f1o pattern will definitely affect the weather in western Colorado this winter, but it\u2019s still impossible to forecast with certainty what it will mean for specific locations in the mountains, he said. He has examined the 23 El Ni\u00f1o winters since 1950 to see how they affected Aspen, Steamboat Springs, Crested Butte, Telluride, Silverton and other Colorado ski resorts.<\/p>\n

Conditions have tended to be drier and warmer than average during December, January and February.<\/p>\n

The National Weather Service\u2019s Climate Prediction Center recently issued a three-month outlook for December, January and February. Central Colorado had an equal chance of temperatures being above or below average. The southern two-thirds of the state has an above average chance of an above-average amount of precipitation, the outlook said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

‘Bruce Lee’ could bring nasty snowstorms to Southwest<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":109706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5736,5735],"tags":[13,83],"naviga_topic":[],"class_list":["post-109705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-local-news","category-news","tag-frontpage-lead","tag-mancos"],"acf":[],"author_name":"dh_admin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109705"},{"taxonomy":"naviga_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/naviga_topic?post=109705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}