{"id":103828,"date":"2017-08-31T17:03:13","date_gmt":"2017-08-31T23:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/new-afghanistan-strategy-not-designed-to-win\/"},"modified":"2017-08-31T17:03:13","modified_gmt":"2017-08-31T23:03:13","slug":"new-afghanistan-strategy-not-designed-to-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/new-afghanistan-strategy-not-designed-to-win\/","title":{"rendered":"New Afghanistan strategy not designed to win"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Portrait
Portrait of Fareed Zakaria<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Within months he presented, with great fanfare, a continuation of the same. The result: The United States is now firmly locked into its forever war in Afghanistan.<\/p>\n

President Trump\u2019s policy differs from the one he inherited only in the addition of 4,000 more troops. Trump vows to eschew nation-building, emphasize counterterrorism, end corruption in Afghanistan, and hold Pakistan accountable. President Obama promised all the same things. \u201cIt is time to focus on nation-building here at home,\u201d Obama said in 2011, explaining his shift in approach from President George W. Bush\u2019s strategy.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s remarks on Pakistan were seen by many as a strong break from the previous administration, but people appear to have forgotten the unusually blunt testimony that Adm. Mike Mullen, then-chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, gave to Congress in 2011. He called the Haqqani network, one of the most dangerous terrorist groups in Afghanistan, \u201ca veritable arm of Pakistan\u2019s Inter-Services Intelligence agency.\u201d That same year, then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and then-CIA Director David Petraeus both went to Pakistan to, in Clinton\u2019s words, \u201cpush the Pakistanis very hard\u201d to end their support for the Haqqanis.<\/p>\n

The pressure was one in a series of actions that outraged the Pakistanis, causing them to shut down supply routes to American-led forces in Afghanistan for seven months.<\/p>\n

In expressing support for Trump\u2019s open-ended commitment, House Speaker Paul Ryan used the tired old saying that the U.S. has the watches, but the Taliban has the time. \u201cIf they believe that we have some end date, some timetable, then they will wait us out,\u201d he said. But this fundamentally misunderstands the nature of this type of overseas struggle. The Taliban will wait us out for a very simple reason. They live there.<\/p>\n

Harry Summers, a wise Army officer in the Vietnam War who went on to write a definitive book on that conflict\u2019s military lessons, opened the book by recounting an exchange he had with a North Vietnamese officer in 1975, just before Saigon fell. \u201cYou know you never defeated us on the battlefield,\u201d Summers said. The officer replied, \u201cThat may be so, but it is also irrelevant.\u201d Every local force knows one thing in its bones: Eventually, the foreigners have to go home.<\/p>\n

Why are the Taliban gaining ground in Afghanistan? I asked The New Yorker\u2019s Dexter Filkins, one of the keenest observers of that war. \u201cOrdinary Afghans don\u2019t like the Taliban. But they dislike the Afghan government even more. We say we don\u2019t want to do nation-building, but you can\u2019t build an army without first building a state. People don\u2019t die for an army; they die for a country. And who wants to die for the current Afghan government?\u201d<\/p>\n

The American military on the ground knows the problem well, which is why they refer to the Afghan government as a collection of corrupt networks that extend across the country. In true military fashion, they even have an acronym for it, VICE \u2013 vertically integrated criminal enterprise.<\/p>\n

A leading expert on Afghanistan policy, Barnett Rubin, who has advised the United Nations and the U.S. government, explains the problem differently. \u201cThe Afghan state cannot exist without outside help,\u201d he told me. \u201cIt cannot pay its bills without the U.S. government. It cannot have a stable society without Pakistan\u2019s help. It cannot grow economically without trade and transit with Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n

Referring to reports that Afghanistan is endowed with nearly $1 trillion in mineral resources, he wryly observed, \u201cI\u2019m sure the moon has even more mineral wealth, but you need a way to get it out to markets. And for that you need friendly neighbors.\u201d<\/p>\n

Rubin believes that Trump\u2019s approach is doomed because it seems willfully oblivious to the interests of the other powers in the region, especially Russia, China and Iran.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the Trump administration has doubled down on more of the same. More money, bombs, troops, pressure on Pakistan and tough love for the Afghans. It is a tactical approach, designed by generals, to ensure that they do not lose. But it does not even pretend to contain a strategy to win.<\/p>\n

In other words, half a century later, at a lower human cost, the United States has replicated its strategy in Vietnam.<\/p>\n

Call it quagmire-lite.<\/p>\n

Fareed Zakaria is a columnist for The Washington Post. Reach him at comments@fareedzakaria.com<\/a>. \u00a9 2017 Washington Post Writers Group<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Portrait of Fareed Zakaria Within months he presented, with great fanfare, a continuation of the same. The result: The United States is now firmly locked into its forever war in Afghanistan. President Trump\u2019s policy differs from the one he inherited only in the addition of 4,000 more troops. Trump vows to eschew nation-building, emphasize counterterrorism, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103829,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5758,6334],"tags":[125],"naviga_topic":[],"class_list":["post-103828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columnists","category-columnists-guest-columns","tag-newsletter-opinion"],"acf":[],"author_name":"dh_admin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103828\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103829"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103828"},{"taxonomy":"naviga_topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dh.durangoherald.com\/tj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/naviga_topic?post=103828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}